AMZN
NEUTRAL LOSS- Entry
- $226.40
- Target
- $199.19
- Stop
- $253.61
AMZN is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $226.40 with a planned lower boundary near $199.19 and upper boundary near $253.61, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 68% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 46.0% vs realized 26.1%, and front/next IV ratio 1.494 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
90% of 156 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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