ADSK
NEUTRAL WIN- Entry
- $254.77
- Target
- $219.43
- Stop
- $290.11
ADSK is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $254.77 with a planned lower boundary near $219.43 and upper boundary near $290.11, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 80% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 53.6% vs realized 41.4%, and front/next IV ratio 1.307 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
90% of 213 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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