MRCY
NEUTRAL WIN- Entry
- $113.50
- Target
- $84.27
- Stop
- $142.74
MRCY is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $113.50 with a planned lower boundary near $84.27 and upper boundary near $142.74, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 69% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 80.9% vs realized 71.1%, and front/next IV ratio 2.242 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
91% of 310 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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