LMT
NEUTRAL LOSS- Entry
- $510.00
- Target
- $467.43
- Stop
- $552.57
LMT is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $510.00 with a planned lower boundary near $467.43 and upper boundary near $552.57, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 72% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 34.7% vs realized 28.0%, and front/next IV ratio 1.659 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
84% of 44 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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