MANH
NEUTRAL LOSS- Entry
- $159.29
- Target
- $118.75
- Stop
- $199.83
MANH is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $159.29 with a planned lower boundary near $118.75 and upper boundary near $199.83, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 97% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 71.6% vs realized 53.3%, and front/next IV ratio 1.086 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
90% of 143 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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