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Optionomics
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IWM trade idea receipt

A public timestamp, the registered evaluation window, and the model context for one Optionomics trade idea. Final receipts publish the outcome; a live one keeps the member levels private until the check closes.

BEARISH Swing LOSS
Final outcome receipt

IWM

BEARISH LOSS
+6.5% peak

Best favourable move during the 30-day window.

Entry
$300.53
Target
$293.00
Stop
$304.00
Thesis snapshot

IWM shows a bearish setup supported by elevated options activity, directional flow, and the current price backdrop. The suggested bear put spread uses an entry near $300.53, targets $293.00, and uses $304.00 as the risk level, so the trade has a defined upside case and a clear point where the thesis should be reevaluated. Supporting factors include 72 bearish alerts with $20.9M total premium; 59 bearish versus 13 bullish alerts, $5.0M aggressive IWM $293 put sweep, 10.1K contracts, 403.8x volume ratio, new pos:true, and Bearish net flow: calls -$5.8M versus puts $4.9M, with put-flow slope +$626.9K. Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 36 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.

Option structure
  • LONG PUT $299.0 (31d)
  • SHORT PUT $290.0 (31d)
Published Aug 18, 2026 19:00 UTC — immutable record
Outcome final after Sep 17, 2026
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Trade ideas are generated starting points for research, published with immutable timestamps and tracked against their registered evaluation policy. Educational data, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. See the full model track record.