JCI
NEUTRAL WIN- Entry
- $140.26
- Target
- $116.54
- Stop
- $163.98
JCI is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $140.26 with a planned lower boundary near $116.54 and upper boundary near $163.98, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 87% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 48.4% vs realized 26.7%, and front/next IV ratio 1.109 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
87% of 68 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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