TREE
NEUTRAL WIN- Entry
- $40.97
- Target
- $27.97
- Stop
- $53.97
TREE is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $40.97 with a planned lower boundary near $27.97 and upper boundary near $53.97, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 67% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 93.5% vs realized 41.0%, and front/next IV ratio 1.24 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
91% of 147 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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