ST
NEUTRAL WIN- Entry
- $46.73
- Target
- $36.70
- Stop
- $56.76
ST is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $46.73 with a planned lower boundary near $36.70 and upper boundary near $56.76, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 62% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 56.6% vs realized 27.9%, and front/next IV ratio 1.179 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.
91% of 147 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings
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