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Optionomics
Verified public receipt

BIRK trade idea receipt

A public timestamp, the registered evaluation window, and the model context for one Optionomics trade idea. Final receipts publish the outcome; a live one keeps the member levels private until the check closes.

NEUTRAL IV Crush WIN
Final outcome receipt

BIRK

NEUTRAL WIN
Post-earnings close stayed inside the expected move
Entry
$36.74
Target
$29.26
Stop
$44.22
Thesis snapshot

BIRK is a neutral volatility setup, where the trade is built around price staying inside the planned range rather than making a large directional move. The suggested iron condor uses the current stock price near $36.74 with a planned lower boundary near $29.26 and upper boundary near $44.22, so the thesis depends on price remaining inside that range. Supporting factors include IV rank 53% (elevated vs 1-year history), ATM IV 61.0% vs realized 44.1%, and front/next IV ratio 1.496 (event premium in term structure). Because this is a time-sensitive idea over roughly 24 hours, it should be sized carefully and revisited if price moves through the risk level or the supporting flow fades.

91% of 298 similar resolved ideas finished inside their expected-move range after earnings

Published Aug 13, 2026 11:00 UTC — immutable record
Outcome final after Aug 15, 2026
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Trade ideas are generated starting points for research, published with immutable timestamps and tracked against their registered evaluation policy. Educational data, not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. See the full model track record.