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Optionomics

FTK expected move

Flotek Industries · November 11, 2026 close · $26.63 · Trading sessions, not calendar days

Next session ±3.3%

$25.76 – $27.51

1 week ±7.3%

$24.68 – $28.58

1 month ±15.1%

$22.60 – $30.66

The range priced in

Recent closes on the left. Expected movement on the right.

21 sessions ahead
$30.66 ±15.1% $22.60 Sep 15 Nov 11 close $26.63 +21 sessions
Historical close Typical move 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes

The bands show historically calibrated ranges, not a prediction of direction. A wider band means more movement is priced in.

Ranges by horizon

All ranges are measured from the $26.63 close.

HorizonExpected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.3% ±$0.88 $25.76 – $27.51 $25.58 – $27.68 $24.75 – $28.51
2 sessions ±4.6% ±$1.22 $25.41 – $27.85 $25.16 – $28.11 $24.01 – $29.25
3 sessions ±5.8% ±$1.53 $25.10 – $28.16 $24.80 – $28.46 $23.37 – $29.89
1 week ±7.3% ±$1.95 $24.68 – $28.58 $24.25 – $29.01 $22.48 – $30.78
2 weeks ±10.3% ±$2.73 $23.90 – $29.36 $23.25 – $30.01 $20.80 – $32.46
3 weeks ±12.7% ±$3.39 $23.25 – $30.02 $22.42 – $30.84 $19.48 – $33.78
1 month ±15.1% ±$4.03 $22.60 – $30.66 $21.60 – $31.66 $18.09 – $35.18

Smart money in FTK

Totals from the last full session. Insider and politician figures cover 90 days.

How the expected move is calculated

We use the at-the-money straddle from every listed expiration, place each on trading sessions, and interpolate the horizons between them. Upcoming earnings are separated from everyday movement.

The result is calibrated against realised moves over 2016–2026. In tests on held-out years from 2019–2026, the 68% and 90% ranges contained 66–68% and 89–90% of closes. Historical coverage is not a guarantee for the next session.

A week means five trading sessions and a month means twenty-one. These are estimates of size, not direction.

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