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Earnings analysis · 10-K

ZG earnings analysis

Filed February 11, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

Zillow Group positions itself as a transaction-focused residential real estate platform executing an "integrated-transaction" strategy centered on Enhanced Markets, Zillow Preferred and new agent products (Zillow Pro)…

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Zillow Group positions itself as a transaction-focused residential real estate platform executing an "integrated-transaction" strategy centered on Enhanced Markets, Zillow Preferred and new agent products (Zillow Pro) while expanding its rentals marketplace and mortgage product offerings. Key operating metrics in the filing show a large data/traffic moat (approximately 173 million U.S. homes in its database; 259 million unique users in July 2025; ~9.6 billion visits in 2025) and material momentum in rentals (2.4 million average monthly active rental listings, including 72,000 multifamily properties, up 44% vs. Dec 31, 2024). The 10-K also discloses recent capital structure changes (new $500 million revolving credit facility dated January 30, 2026, maturity Jan 30, 2031; multiple convertible senior notes described as fully settled) and emphasizes persistent regulatory, data access and financing risks for Zillow Home Loans.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

79% Gross margin Operating margin Aug 2023 Oct 2025

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Feb 2022 Feb 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Segment
For Sale / agent & transaction services (Premier Agent, Zillow Preferred, Zillow Pro)
Segment
Rentals (Zillow Rentals marketplace, advertising, property management/leasing tools)
Segment
Zillow Home Loans (mortgage origination and marketplace / secondary market sales)
Segment
Software & subscription (Follow Up Boss, Zillow Workspace, ShowingTime, dotloop)

What stood out

  • Large proprietary data asset

    Company reports a "living database of approximately 173 million U.S. homes" which underpins its Zestimate and other models.

  • High traffic and brand scale

    Filing states Zillow Group attracted an annual monthly high of 259 million unique users in July 2025 and approximately 9.6 billion visits in 2025.

  • Strong rentals marketplace growth

    Zillow Rentals had 2.4 million average monthly active rental listings as of December 31, 2025, including 72,000 multifamily properties, a 44% increase compared to December 31, 2024.

  • Reliable Zestimate accuracy on listed homes

    Filing discloses the Zestimate had a median error rate of 1.8% for homes listed for sale (and 7.2% for off-market homes) during 2025.

  • Enhanced Markets / product integration momentum

    Connections (leads) delivered to agent partners through the Enhanced Market experience exited the year at "over 40%," and Zillow Home Loans had "double-digit" customer adoption rates across Enhanced Markets.

  • Access to committed credit

    Glossary discloses a new "Revolving Credit Facility" of $500 million with maturity date January 30, 2031, pursuant to a credit agreement dated January 30, 2026.

What to watch

  • Dependence on listing and data providers

    10-K warns about "our ability to establish or maintain relationships with listing and data providers, which affects traffic to our mobile apps and websites; or changes to our rights to use or timely access listing data, or to the quality or quantity of such listing data."

  • Regulatory and industry rule risk (NAR/MLS)

    Filing states risk from "our ability to comply with current and future rules and requirements promulgated by NAR, MLSs, or other real estate industry groups or governing bodies," which could affect operations and traffic.

  • Mortgage financing and Zillow Home Loans exposure

    10-K identifies risk tied to Zillow Home Loans including "the ability to obtain or maintain sufficient financing to fund the origination of mortgages, meet customers' financing needs... and resell originated mortgages on the secondary market."

  • Cybersecurity and technology disruption

    Risk factors include "our ability to maintain adequate security controls or technology systems, or those of third parties on which we rely, to protect data integrity and the information and privacy of our customers and other third parties."

  • Capital structure changes / financing risk

    Glossary notes the 2024, 2025 and 2026 convertible senior notes (the "2024 Notes", "2025 Notes", "2026 Notes") were fully settled (2024 Notes in September 2024; 2025 Notes in May 2025; 2026 Notes in December 2024), and the company now has a $500 million Revolving Credit Facility (credit agreement dated January 30, 2026) — a materially changed financing profile that creates new funding and covenant considerations.

  • Macroeconomic housing headwinds

    Management cites a macro housing environment with "low housing inventory, elevated and volatile mortgage rates, home price fluctuations and inflationary conditions," noting these have limited for-sale housing supply and affected demand and revenue mix.

Management's outlook

This 10-K does not provide explicit numeric annual revenue or EPS guidance. The filing contains forward-looking statements but does not include numeric guidance; management historically provides numeric outlook in contemporaneous earnings releases and calls.

Earlier filings 4

10-Q · October 30, 2025

Zillow Group reported Q3 revenue of $676.0 million (up $95.0 million, +16.3% vs Q3 2024) and GAAP net income of $10 million (basic/diluted EPS $0.04) versus a loss of $20 million (EPS $(0.08)) in Q3 2024. Gross profit…

10-Q · August 6, 2025

Zillow reported Q2 2025 revenue of $655 million, up $83 million (14.5%) versus $572 million in Q2 2024, driven by growth in Rentals and Mortgages. Gross profit rose to $489 million but gross margin compressed to ~74.66%…

10-Q · May 7, 2025

Zillow Group reported Q1 2025 revenue of $598.0M, up $69.0M (13.0%) versus $529.0M in Q1 2024, driven by growth in Rentals and Mortgages. Gross profit rose to $459.0M (gross margin ~76.8%) and the company returned to…

10-Q · November 6, 2024

Zillow Group reported Q3 (three months ended September 30, 2024) revenue of $581.0M, up $85.0M (17.1%) versus $496.0M in Q3 2023, with gross profit rising to $441.0M. GAAP results remain a loss but improved: loss from…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.