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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

NN earnings analysis

Filed August 11, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

Q2 revenue of $1.150 million increased approximately 15.6% sequentially and 15.0% year over year and exceeded the $0.900 million consensus estimate, while diluted EPS of negative $0.24 deteriorated sequentially and…

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Q2 revenue of $1.150 million increased approximately 15.6% sequentially and 15.0% year over year and exceeded the $0.900 million consensus estimate, while diluted EPS of negative $0.24 deteriorated sequentially and missed consensus of negative $0.16. Net loss improved year over year to $44.4 million from $121.8 million, but management does not expect near-term profitability or positive cash flow. Liquidity is expected to cover needs beyond the next 12 months, but the company remains exposed to substantial dilution, continued cash burn, AT&T dependence, and unresolved FCC approvals affecting its 5G strategy.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

0% Gross margin Operating margin May 2023 Mar 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish May 2023 Aug 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$-0.24

What stood out

  • Revenue grew and beat consensus

    Q2 revenue was $1.150 million, up approximately 15.6% from $0.995 million in Q1 2026 and approximately 15.0% from $1.000 million in Q2 2025, and exceeded the $0.900 million consensus estimate.

  • Net loss materially improved year over year

    Net loss improved to $44.4 million in Q2 2026 from $121.8 million in Q2 2025, a reduction of $77.4 million or approximately 63.5%.

  • No material control deficiencies reported

    Management concluded that disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of June 30, 2026, and reported no changes in internal control over financial reporting that materially affected, or were reasonably likely to materially affect, controls during the quarter.

  • Large spectrum license portfolio

    The company holds 354 M-LMS spectrum licenses, providing coverage of most of the U.S. and the vast majority of populated areas, and continues to seek FCC approval to optimize the 902-928 MHz band for 5G operations.

  • Liquidity expected to cover next 12 months

    The company stated that its cash and cash equivalents and marketable securities as of June 30, 2026 are expected to be sufficient for working capital and capital expenditures beyond the next 12 months.

What to watch

  • Persistent losses and negative cash flow

    Diluted EPS was negative $0.24, worsening by $0.12 from negative $0.12 in Q1 2026, although it improved by $0.24 from negative $0.48 in Q2 2025. Management stated that it does not expect to be profitable or cash-flow positive in the near future.

  • Substantial dilution capacity

    As of June 30, 2026, 166,997,792 common shares were outstanding, 11,996,742 shares were reserved under the stock incentive plan, and 21,979,899 shares were issuable upon warrant exercise, against authorization for 500,000,000 shares. Future equity or convertible-security issuance could materially dilute existing holders.

  • FCC approval and spectrum risk

    The company’s NextGen strategy depends on FCC action regarding its 5G petition, which remains opposed by third parties; the filing also notes that an amendment approved by the U.S. House Committee on Appropriations could affect FCC authority, discretion, or resources for relevant regulatory actions.

  • Build-out compliance threatens licenses

    Of 354 LMS licenses, 226 are subject to FCC build-out requirements; build-out showings for 76 licenses remain pending, while extension requests remain pending for another 72 licenses. Failure to obtain approvals or extensions could result in loss of licensed spectrum.

  • Debt warrants add dilution risk

    The company’s 2023 Debt Warrants included 10,485,086 warrants outstanding as of June 30, 2026, and its 2025 Debt Warrants included 7,800,000 outstanding warrants, creating additional potential dilution if exercised.

  • Dependence on AT&T infrastructure

    The AT&T equipment-hosting agreement and FirstNet services relationship extend to October 2028, but the company has no contractual right to require renewal beyond those terms and has experienced temporary, geographically limited service outages on AT&T’s network.

Management's outlook

No quantitative revenue or EPS guidance was provided. Management stated that it does not expect to be profitable or cash-flow positive in the near future and expects losses to continue; it also stated that cash and cash equivalents plus marketable securities as of June 30, 2026 are expected to fund working capital and capital expenditures beyond the next 12 months.

Earlier filings 4

10-Q · May 14, 2026

NextNav Inc. reported a Q1 2026 revenue of $1.54 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $944,800. The company recorded a diluted EPS loss of $0.12, also better than the expected loss of $0.15. While operational…

10-K · March 17, 2026

NextNav describes a strategy of evolving its terrestrial PNT offerings (Pinnacle, TerraPoiNT) into a 5G NR-based NextGen platform and to monetize low-band spectrum (12 MHz total). Operational scale is small today (Q4…

10-Q · August 6, 2025

NextNav reported Q2 revenue of $1,202,000 (up from $1,105,000 in Q2 2024) but delivered a materially larger net loss of $63,195,000 (versus $24,390,000 a year ago) and GAAP EPS of $(0.48). Operating loss widened to…

10-Q · November 13, 2024

NextNav reported Q3 revenue of $1.607 million (three months ended September 30, 2024) and GAAP net loss per share of $(0.11). Revenue and EPS improved versus the year-ago quarter (revenue $1.027 million and EPS $(0.21)…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.