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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

CF earnings analysis

Filed May 7, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

CF Industries reported a robust Q1 2026 with revenue reaching **$1.99 billion**, significantly outpacing estimates of **$1.84 billion**. The company achieved an EPS of **$3.98**, which exceeded the consensus estimate of…

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CF Industries reported a robust Q1 2026 with revenue reaching **$1.99 billion**, significantly outpacing estimates of **$1.84 billion**. The company achieved an EPS of **$3.98**, which exceeded the consensus estimate of **$2.67**, highlighting strong operational performance and a litigation settlement gain of **$170 million**. Free cash flow stood at **$1.65 billion**, indicating solid liquidity.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

45% Gross margin Operating margin Aug 2023 May 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

From revenue to operating profit

Where each $100 of revenue went in this report.

Of every $100 of revenue Cost of sales $61 Operating expenses $6 Left as operating profit $33

Cost of sales, operating expenses, and what remained. Figures are rounded to whole dollars.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Aug 2023 May 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$3.98

What stood out

  • Strong Revenue Growth

    Revenue increased to **$1.99 billion**, up from **$1.87 billion** in Q4 2025, marking a quarter-over-quarter growth of **6.4%**.

  • Significant EPS Surprise

    Reported EPS of **$3.98** was significantly higher than **$2.58** in the previous quarter and surpassed estimates of **$2.67**.

  • High Free Cash Flow

    Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months reached **$1.65 billion**, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities.

  • Litigation Settlement Boost

    The results included a notable boost of **$170 million** from a litigation settlement, enhancing profitability.

  • Improved Gross and Operating Margins

    Gross margin improved to **38.3%**, up from **40.9%**, while operating margin was **32.5%**, a solid performance relative to industry norms.

  • Consistent Segment Performance

    All segments showed growth, reflecting a healthy demand for nitrogen products.

What to watch

  • Production Challenges

    Ongoing production challenges may threaten operational consistency, as highlighted in prior filings.

  • Rising Natural Gas Prices

    Higher natural gas prices could impact cost structure significantly if trends continue.

  • Commodity Price Volatility

    The company remains exposed to market risks from commodity price fluctuations, which could affect profitability.

Management's outlook

Management anticipates continued strong demand for nitrogen products but did not provide specific numeric guidance.

Earlier filings 4

10-K · February 25, 2026

CF Industries reported net sales of $7.08 billion in 2025 (up from $5.94 billion in 2024) with gross margin improving to $2.72 billion. Management advanced its low-carbon ammonia strategy — commissioning Donaldsonville…

10-Q · November 6, 2025

CF Industries reported Q3 net sales of $1,659 million and diluted EPS of $2.19, both meaningfully higher than the year-ago quarter (net sales $1,370 million; diluted EPS $1.55). Margins were strong with gross margin of…

10-Q · May 8, 2025

CF Industries reported Q1 revenue of $1,663 million (up $193 million, +13.1% YoY) and diluted EPS of $1.85 (up $0.82 from $1.03 a year ago), driven by higher sales across Ammonia, UAN and Granular Urea. Operating…

10-Q · May 2, 2024

CF Industries reported a materially weaker quarter vs. the prior-year period: net sales declined to $1,470 million (from $2,012 million) and diluted EPS fell to $1.03 (from $2.85). Operating earnings dropped to $303…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.