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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

AA earnings analysis

Filed April 30, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

Alcoa Corporation's Q1 2026 results show a revenue of $3.193 billion, down 3.15% YoY and EPS of $1.40, missing estimates due to lower alumina pricing and higher production costs. Despite the revenue decline, aluminum…

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Alcoa Corporation's Q1 2026 results show a revenue of $3.193 billion, down 3.15% YoY and EPS of $1.40, missing estimates due to lower alumina pricing and higher production costs. Despite the revenue decline, aluminum prices increased by 12%, aiding segment performance. The company is focused on operational continuity amid supply chain disruptions.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

34% Gross margin Operating margin May 2022 May 2025

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish May 2022 Apr 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$1.4
Segment
Alumina
Segment
Aluminum

What stood out

  • Revenue Decline

    Revenue fell to $3.193 billion, a 3.15% decrease compared to $3.37 billion in 2025Q1.

  • EPS Misses Estimates

    Reported EPS was $1.40, missing estimates of $1.54, reflecting a 9.09% surprise to the downside.

  • Aluminum Price Increase

    Average aluminum prices increased by 12% compared to the previous quarter.

  • Cash Flow Changes

    Operating cash used was $179 million, compared to cash provided of $75 million in the same period last year.

  • Segment Performance Gains

    Aluminum segment Adjusted EBITDA increased by $174 million sequentially due to higher average realized prices.

  • Free Cash Flow Positive

    The company had free cash flow (FCF) of $246 million in the previous quarter, although reported at -$179 million this quarter.

What to watch

  • Revenue Shortfall

    Alcoa experienced a revenue decline of $256 million compared to the previous quarter, driven by lower shipments of alumina and aluminum.

  • Increased Production Costs

    Higher costs associated with the restart of the San Ciprián smelter impacted margins and profitability.

  • Supply Chain Disruptions

    Disruptions related to the Middle East conflict and Cyclone Narelle affected shipment logistics, leading to delayed alumina shipments.

Management's outlook

Management anticipates stable production and shipment forecasts for the Alumina and Aluminum segments, projecting total production between 9.7 to 9.9 million metric tons for alumina.

Earlier filings 4

10-K · February 26, 2026

Alcoa’s 2025 Form 10-K emphasizes operational stabilization, portfolio reshaping and disciplined capital allocation after a year of asset transactions and restarts. Management highlights sale of its 25.1% Saudi JV,…

10-Q · May 1, 2025

Alcoa reported materially improved Q1 results driven by the Alumina business: revenue of $3,369,000,000 (Q1 2025) rose $770,000,000 versus Q1 2024 and gross margin expanded to 27.6% from 7.5% a year earlier. Net income…

10-K · February 20, 2025

Alcoa completed several strategic portfolio moves in 2024, including the August 1, 2024 acquisition of Alumina Limited (bringing AWAC wholly‑owned) and the full curtailment of the Kwinana refinery, while also agreeing…

10-Q · May 2, 2024

Alcoa reported first-quarter sales of $2,599 million and a consolidated net loss of $307 million (net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation $252 million), producing diluted EPS of $(1.41). Results deteriorated…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.