TTE Moves

TotalEnergies SE TTE 88.75 -1.71 -1.89%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $88.75

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.3% ±$1.14	$87.61 – $89.89	$87.37 – $90.13	$86.29 – $91.21
2 sessions	±1.8% ±$1.60	$87.15 – $90.35	$86.82 – $90.68	$85.31 – $92.19
3 sessions	±2.3% ±$2.01	$86.74 – $90.76	$86.35 – $91.15	$84.47 – $93.03
1 week	±2.9% ±$2.56	$86.19 – $91.31	$85.63 – $91.87	$83.31 – $94.19
2 weeks	±4.0% ±$3.59	$85.16 – $92.34	$84.31 – $93.19	$81.10 – $96.40
3 weeks	±4.9% ±$4.35	$84.40 – $93.10	$83.35 – $94.15	$79.56 – $97.94
1 month	±5.7% ±$5.09	$83.66 – $93.84	$82.40 – $95.10	$77.96 – $99.54

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±3.72%

Average actual move

4.14%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-9.31%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 11, 2026	±3.72%	+4.14%	1.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →