Spotify Technology S SPOT 614.41 -13.25 -2.11%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $614.03| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±2.1% ±$13.20 | $600.83 – $627.23 | $598.13 – $629.93 | $585.66 – $642.40 |
| 2 sessions | ±2.8% ±$17.25 | $596.78 – $631.28 | $593.15 – $634.91 | $576.88 – $651.18 |
| 3 sessions | ±3.5% ±$21.18 | $592.85 – $635.21 | $588.73 – $639.33 | $568.90 – $659.16 |
| 1 week | ±4.3% ±$26.40 | $587.63 – $640.43 | $581.73 – $646.33 | $557.78 – $670.28 |
| 2 weeks | ±5.7% ±$34.75 | $579.28 – $648.78 | $571.05 – $657.01 | $539.86 – $688.20 |
| 3 weeks | ±6.9% ±$42.43 | $571.60 – $656.46 | $561.28 – $666.78 | $524.32 – $703.74 |
| 1 month | ±8.2% ±$50.41 | $563.62 – $664.44 | $551.09 – $676.97 | $507.19 – $720.87 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±9.80%
Average actual move
9.75%
Beyond the implied move
5 / 7
Median IV change
-36.08%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 22, 2026 | ±8.53% | +11.10% | 1.30× | — |
| August 04, 2026 | ±9.19% | -1.68% | 0.18× | — |
| April 28, 2026 | ±10.08% | -12.43% | 1.23× | — |
| February 10, 2026 | ±10.73% | +14.75% | 1.37× | — |
| July 29, 2025 | ±8.78% | -11.55% | 1.32× | 70.3% → 49.5% |
| April 29, 2025 | ±10.70% | -3.48% | 0.33× | 86.9% → 48.0% |
| February 04, 2025 | ±10.61% | +13.24% | 1.25× | 80.3% → 51.3% |