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VanEck Semiconductor ETF SMH 483.63 -3.78 -0.78% Regime: Vol Expansion (69%)

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $482.27
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$10.51 $471.76 – $492.78 $469.68 – $494.86 $459.75 – $504.79
2 sessions ±3.1% ±$14.81 $467.46 – $497.08 $464.33 – $500.21 $450.34 – $514.20
3 sessions ±3.9% ±$18.76 $463.51 – $501.03 $459.89 – $504.65 $442.34 – $522.20
1 week ±5.3% ±$25.32 $456.95 – $507.59 $451.31 – $513.23 $428.30 – $536.24
2 weeks ±7.4% ±$35.50 $446.77 – $517.77 $438.34 – $526.20 $406.51 – $558.03
3 weeks ±8.5% ±$41.04 $441.23 – $523.31 $431.25 – $533.29 $395.56 – $568.98
1 month ±9.9% ±$47.70 $434.57 – $529.97 $422.71 – $541.83 $381.09 – $583.45
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.