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Nextpower Inc NXT 99.58 -7.12 -6.67%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $97.64
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.1% ±$4.02 $93.62 – $101.66 $92.82 – $102.46 $89.02 – $106.26
2 sessions ±5.7% ±$5.59 $92.05 – $103.23 $90.86 – $104.42 $85.58 – $109.70
3 sessions ±7.2% ±$7.04 $90.60 – $104.68 $89.24 – $106.04 $82.64 – $112.64
1 week ±9.2% ±$8.95 $88.69 – $106.59 $86.69 – $108.59 $78.57 – $116.71
2 weeks ±12.9% ±$12.56 $85.08 – $110.20 $82.11 – $113.17 $70.85 – $124.43
3 weeks ±14.8% ±$14.50 $83.14 – $112.14 $79.61 – $115.67 $66.99 – $128.29
1 month ±16.6% ±$16.23 $81.41 – $113.87 $77.39 – $117.89 $63.24 – $132.04
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±12.66%
Average actual move
10.34%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-30.01%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 13, 2026 ±13.88% +8.77% 0.63× —
May 15, 2025 ±11.45% +11.90% 1.04× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →