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MetLife MET 99.75 -3.14 -3.05%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $99.51
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.4% ±$1.42 $98.09 – $100.93 $97.80 – $101.22 $96.46 – $102.56
2 sessions ±2.0% ±$1.98 $97.53 – $101.49 $97.10 – $101.92 $95.23 – $103.79
3 sessions ±2.5% ±$2.50 $97.01 – $102.01 $96.53 – $102.49 $94.19 – $104.83
1 week ±3.2% ±$3.17 $96.34 – $102.68 $95.63 – $103.39 $92.74 – $106.28
2 weeks ±4.5% ±$4.46 $95.05 – $103.97 $94.00 – $105.02 $90.01 – $109.01
3 weeks ±5.3% ±$5.29 $94.22 – $104.80 $92.93 – $106.09 $88.33 – $110.69
1 month ±6.1% ±$6.08 $93.43 – $105.59 $91.92 – $107.10 $86.61 – $112.41
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.53%
Average actual move
2.01%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-30.08%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±4.74% -1.67% 0.35× —
August 07, 2025 ±4.74% -2.80% 0.59× 37.1% → 25.9%
February 06, 2025 ±4.12% -1.56% 0.38× 30.4% → 20.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →