IONQ Moves

IonQ IONQ 26.43 -3.11 -10.53%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $28.49

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±9.9% ±$2.83	$25.66 – $31.32	$24.94 – $32.04	$22.32 – $34.66
2 sessions Earnings	±11.0% ±$3.14	$25.35 – $31.63	$24.58 – $32.40	$21.69 – $35.29
3 sessions Earnings	±12.0% ±$3.43	$25.06 – $31.92	$24.27 – $32.71	$21.13 – $35.85
1 week Earnings	±13.3% ±$3.78	$24.71 – $32.27	$23.79 – $33.19	$20.54 – $36.44
2 weeks Earnings	±15.7% ±$4.47	$24.02 – $32.96	$22.97 – $34.01	$19.06 – $37.92
3 weeks Earnings	±17.7% ±$5.04	$23.45 – $33.53	$22.25 – $34.73	$17.89 – $39.09
1 month Earnings	±19.8% ±$5.63	$22.86 – $34.12	$21.50 – $35.48	$16.65 – $40.33

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. IONQ reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±12.38%

Average actual move

7.53%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 5

Median IV change

-13.87%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2026	±11.04%	-0.53%	0.05×	—
May 07, 2026	±12.46%	-9.30%	0.75×	—
August 07, 2025	±11.31%	-1.79%	0.16×	100.8% → 80.1%
May 08, 2025	±12.44%	+9.27%	0.74×	112.6% → 105.5%
February 27, 2025	±14.62%	-16.77%	1.15×	127.9% → 110.1%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →