HII Moves

Huntington Ingalls Industries HII 289.41 -14.58 -4.8%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $289.41

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$5.09	$284.32 – $294.50	$283.27 – $295.55	$278.44 – $300.38
2 sessions	±2.5% ±$7.09	$282.32 – $296.50	$280.81 – $298.01	$274.10 – $304.72
3 sessions	±3.1% ±$8.94	$280.47 – $298.35	$278.73 – $300.09	$270.37 – $308.45
1 week	±3.9% ±$11.37	$278.04 – $300.78	$275.52 – $303.30	$265.19 – $313.63
2 weeks	±5.5% ±$15.95	$273.46 – $305.36	$269.67 – $309.15	$255.38 – $323.44
3 weeks	±6.5% ±$18.75	$270.66 – $308.16	$266.11 – $312.71	$249.79 – $329.03
1 month	±7.4% ±$21.33	$268.08 – $310.74	$262.78 – $316.04	$244.20 – $334.62

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.22%

Average actual move

10.25%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-40.07%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026	±9.22%	-10.25%	1.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →