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Futu Holdings Limited American Depositary FUTU 95.48 -5.49 -5.44%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $95.56
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$2.10 $93.46 – $97.66 $93.04 – $98.08 $91.05 – $100.07
2 sessions ±3.1% ±$2.92 $92.64 – $98.48 $92.01 – $99.11 $89.25 – $101.87
3 sessions ±3.9% ±$3.68 $91.88 – $99.24 $91.16 – $99.96 $87.72 – $103.40
1 week ±4.9% ±$4.68 $90.88 – $100.24 $89.84 – $101.28 $85.59 – $105.53
2 weeks Earnings ±10.3% ±$9.86 $85.70 – $105.42 $83.38 – $107.74 $74.77 – $116.35
3 weeks Earnings ±11.5% ±$11.00 $84.56 – $106.56 $81.93 – $109.19 $72.43 – $118.69
1 month Earnings ±12.8% ±$12.19 $83.37 – $107.75 $80.42 – $110.70 $69.91 – $121.21
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FUTU reports in 7 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.62%
Average actual move
4.55%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-18.20%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 28, 2026 ±6.74% -4.82% 0.72× 70.8% → 60.5%
March 12, 2026 ±6.21% -6.31% 1.02× —
August 20, 2025 ±7.06% +6.02% 0.85× 62.4% → 52.0%
May 29, 2025 ±6.99% -0.32% 0.05× 66.9% → 54.7%
March 13, 2025 ±9.35% -3.77% 0.40× 86.3% → 68.8%
November 19, 2024 ±9.37% -6.07% 0.65× 77.5% → 59.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →