After hours
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

Dollar General Corp DG 138.0 -3.64 -2.57%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $138.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.5% ±$2.01 $135.99 – $140.01 $135.59 – $140.41 $133.68 – $142.32
2 sessions ±2.0% ±$2.80 $135.20 – $140.80 $134.61 – $141.39 $131.96 – $144.04
3 sessions ±2.6% ±$3.53 $134.47 – $141.53 $133.79 – $142.21 $130.48 – $145.52
1 week ±3.3% ±$4.49 $133.51 – $142.49 $132.51 – $143.49 $128.44 – $147.56
2 weeks ±4.6% ±$6.29 $131.71 – $144.29 $130.20 – $145.80 $124.56 – $151.44
3 weeks ±5.7% ±$7.80 $130.20 – $145.80 $128.30 – $147.70 $121.51 – $154.49
1 month Earnings ±11.6% ±$15.94 $122.06 – $153.94 $118.22 – $157.78 $104.49 – $171.51
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. DG reports in 19 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.32%
Average actual move
5.04%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 7
Median IV change
-43.46%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 27, 2026 ±8.21% +2.53% 0.31× 55.5% → 34.2%
June 02, 2026 ±10.14% -3.33% 0.33× 82.8% → 46.2%
March 12, 2026 ±8.96% -6.14% 0.69× —
August 28, 2025 ±8.05% +0.46% 0.06× 54.6% → 27.5%
June 03, 2025 ±9.03% +15.85% 1.75× —
March 13, 2025 ±10.29% +6.81% 0.66× 74.8% → 50.0%
December 05, 2024 ±10.60% +0.13% 0.01× 74.8% → 42.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →