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Best Buy Company BBY 99.4 -1.96 -1.93%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $99.34
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$1.78 $97.56 – $101.12 $97.20 – $101.48 $95.53 – $103.15
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$2.47 $96.87 – $101.81 $96.34 – $102.34 $94.01 – $104.67
3 sessions ±3.1% ±$3.12 $96.22 – $102.46 $95.62 – $103.06 $92.70 – $105.98
1 week ±4.0% ±$3.96 $95.38 – $103.30 $94.49 – $104.19 $90.90 – $107.78
2 weeks ±5.6% ±$5.56 $93.78 – $104.90 $92.47 – $106.21 $87.48 – $111.20
3 weeks Earnings ±10.5% ±$10.44 $88.90 – $109.78 $86.42 – $112.26 $77.41 – $121.27
1 month Earnings ±11.4% ±$11.33 $88.01 – $110.67 $85.27 – $113.41 $75.51 – $123.17
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. BBY reports in 13 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.42%
Average actual move
8.07%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 7
Median IV change
-35.92%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 27, 2026 ±8.12% -4.44% 0.55× —
May 28, 2026 ±7.32% +15.80% 2.16× 57.9% → 59.5%
March 03, 2026 ±9.84% +7.08% 0.72× —
August 28, 2025 ±8.28% -3.70% 0.45× —
May 29, 2025 ±8.32% -7.27% 0.87× 57.9% → 37.1%
March 04, 2025 ±8.62% -13.30% 1.54× —
November 26, 2024 ±8.47% -4.89% 0.58× 65.0% → 29.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →