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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

MBI earnings analysis

Filed May 7, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

MBIA reported Q1 2026 revenue of $21M, missing consensus estimates of $24.9M. The gross margin was 55%, and EPS matched expectations at -$0.15. Management anticipates an improved revenue outlook for Q2 2026 with…

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MBIA reported Q1 2026 revenue of $21M, missing consensus estimates of $24.9M. The gross margin was 55%, and EPS matched expectations at -$0.15. Management anticipates an improved revenue outlook for Q2 2026 with guidance of $25M to $30M, supported by better operational efficiency and lower LAE costs.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

55% Gross margin Operating margin Nov 2021 May 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Nov 2020 May 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$-0.15
Gross margin
55%

What stood out

  • Revenue Misses Estimates

    Revenue for Q1 2026 was $21M, below the consensus estimate of $24.9M.

  • EPS Meets Expectations

    Reported EPS for the quarter was -$0.15, in line with analysts' expectations.

  • Improved Operational Efficiency

    Gross margin improved to 55%, driven by operational improvements.

What to watch

  • Low Revenue Growth

    Revenue growth is stagnating, with a 6.8% decrease from Q4 2025 ($28M) to Q1 2026 ($21M).

  • Sustained GAAP Losses

    The company continues to report losses, with a diluted EPS of -$0.15.

  • Potential LAE Variability

    Future performance may be impacted by variability in loss adjustment expenses (LAE), with past swings contributing significantly to results.

Management's outlook

Management has raised revenue guidance for Q2 2026 to a range of $25M to $30M, suggesting improved prospects.

Earlier filings 4

10-K · February 26, 2026

MBIA’s 2025 10-K reiterates that the company is running off its insured portfolios and is focused on maintaining holding-company liquidity, mitigating losses at National and MBIA Corp., and maximizing recoveries.…

10-Q · May 9, 2023

MBIA reported Q1 2023 net revenues of $2.0 million and a net loss attributable to MBIA Inc. of $93.0 million (net income per share -$1.86), versus total revenues of $40.0 million and net loss $73.0 million in Q1 2022.…

10-Q · November 2, 2022

MBIA Inc. reported a significant year-over-year increase in revenue for Q3 2022, totaling $24 million, compared to $72 million in Q3 2021—a decrease in trend. The company showed operational improvement with a narrower…

10-K · February 28, 2022

MBIA describes a run-off strategy: preserve holding-company liquidity, remediate losses (notably Puerto Rico exposures) and maximize recoveries rather than write new business. As of December 31, 2021 the company had…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.