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Earnings analysis · 10-K

COST earnings analysis

Filed October 7, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

Costco delivered a strong 2026, with total revenue up 10% to $303.154 billion, diluted EPS up 14% to $20.76, comparable sales up 8%, and digitally enabled comparable sales up 21%. Membership growth, high renewal rates,…

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Costco delivered a strong 2026, with total revenue up 10% to $303.154 billion, diluted EPS up 14% to $20.76, comparable sales up 8%, and digitally enabled comparable sales up 21%. Membership growth, high renewal rates, warehouse expansion, and the low-cost limited-assortment model continue to reinforce the company’s competitive positioning, while operating cash flow rose to $15.817 billion. The principal offsets are heavy dependence on U.S. and Canadian operations, increasing AI and cybersecurity complexity, and uncertainty surrounding tariff refunds and related litigation.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

13% Gross margin Operating margin Dec 2023 Oct 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

From revenue to operating profit

Where each $100 of revenue went in this report.

Of every $100 of revenue Cost of sales $89 Operating expenses $7 Left as operating profit $4

Cost of sales, operating expenses, and what remained. Figures are rounded to whole dollars.

Where revenue came from

The business segments reported by the company.

United States 72.5% Other International 14.1% Canada 13.4%

Shares of the segments disclosed in this filing, largest first.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Dec 2023 Oct 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$20.76

What stood out

  • Strong three-year revenue and EPS growth

    Total revenue increased 10% to $303.154 billion in 2026 from $275.235 billion in 2025 and $254.453 billion in 2024. Net income rose 14% to $9.226 billion, while diluted EPS increased to $20.76 from $18.21 and $16.56 in the prior two years.

  • Broad-based comparable-sales momentum

    Comparable sales increased 8% in 2026, driven by a 5% increase in average ticket and 3% higher shopping frequency. Digitally enabled comparable sales increased 21%, highlighting continued momentum in e-commerce and digital engagement.

  • Membership economics remain a key moat

    Membership fee revenue increased 11% to $5.907 billion. Paid members reached 84.1 million versus 81.0 million in 2025, Executive members reached 42.3 million, and renewal rates were 92.3% in the U.S. and Canada and 89.8% worldwide.

  • Disciplined warehouse expansion

    Costco opened 28 warehouses, including three relocations, resulting in 25 net new warehouses and 939 total locations. Management plans up to 33 new warehouses in fiscal 2027, including five relocations, supporting continued market-share expansion.

  • Improving cash generation

    Operating cash flow increased to $15.817 billion from $13.335 billion in 2025 and $11.339 billion in 2024. The filing attributes the 2026 increase to higher operating income, faster inventory turns, and improved supplier payment terms.

  • Structural low-cost operating model

    The company’s low-cost warehouse model is supported by less than 4,000 active SKUs per warehouse, direct supplier purchasing, cross-docking, rapid inventory turnover, and Kirkland Signature private-label products. Costco operated 939 warehouses and 774 gas stations worldwide at the end of 2026.

What to watch

  • High geographic concentration

    The U.S. and Canada represented 86% of net sales and 83% of operating income in 2026, with California alone contributing 26% of U.S. net sales. A slowdown in these concentrated markets could materially affect results.

  • Evolving AI and cyber threats

    The filing highlights expanding AI and cybersecurity exposure, including risks of unauthorized data access, data leakage, inaccurate AI outputs, and third-party governance failures. Costco states that it has experienced cybersecurity incidents and threats, although no identified incident had materially affected the company as of the filing date.

  • Tariff refunds and related litigation

    Tariff-related litigation has become a material new exposure: four class actions were filed in March 2026 seeking refunds of IEEPA tariffs passed through to members, and a motion to dismiss in one case was denied on July 17, 2026. Costco received $184 million of IEEPA refunds during 2026 and an additional $155 million after year-end, creating both legal and margin-related uncertainty.

Management's outlook

No annual revenue or EPS guidance was provided. Quantitative operating plans include approximately $7.5 billion of fiscal 2027 capital expenditures and up to 33 new warehouses, including five relocations.

Earlier filings 4

10-Q · June 3, 2026

Costco's Q3 2026 results showed strong growth, reporting revenue of $70.53 billion and EPS of $4.93, both exceeding analyst expectations. Notably, comparable sales were up 10%, driven by increased membership fees of 11%…

10-Q · March 11, 2026

Costco reported a strong second quarter (12 weeks) with total revenue of $69,597 million, up $5,874 million (+9.2%) versus the prior-year quarter, and diluted EPS of $4.58, up $0.56 (≈13.9%). Gross margin and operating…

10-Q · December 17, 2025

Costco reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue of $67,307 million, up $5,156 million (+8.3%) versus the prior-year quarter, with diluted EPS of $4.50 versus $4.04 a year earlier. Gross margin on total revenue…

10-Q · June 5, 2025

Costco reported third-quarter net sales of $61,965 million and total revenue of $63,205 million (amounts per filing in millions), driving net income of $1,903 million and diluted EPS of $4.28 for the 12 weeks ended May…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.