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Earnings analysis · 10-Q

BBAI earnings analysis

Filed May 5, 2026 · Our reading of the company's report

The latest report

BigBear.ai reported Q1 2026 revenue of $34.4 million, slightly exceeding estimates of $33.6 million, but achieved an EPS of -$0.12, missing the expected -$0.08. The company observed a year-over-year revenue decline of…

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BigBear.ai reported Q1 2026 revenue of $34.4 million, slightly exceeding estimates of $33.6 million, but achieved an EPS of -$0.12, missing the expected -$0.08. The company observed a year-over-year revenue decline of 0.9% driven by decreased Army program volumes, offset by higher-margin contributions from recent acquisitions. The management remains confident, affirming full-year revenue guidance of $135 million to $165 million, bolstered by a significant backlog increase.

Read the original on SEC.gov

Gross and operating margin

How much of each revenue dollar the business keeps.

34% Gross margin Operating margin Aug 2022 May 2026

One point per quarterly or annual filing. Both margins are shares of that report's revenue.

How we read each report

Our analysis across the last few reports.

Read as bullish Read as bearish Aug 2022 May 2026

Our model's reading of each filing, not the share price or the market's reaction. Annual and quarterly reports each occupy one position.

Reported figures

Earnings per share
$-0.12
Gross margin
34.0%

What stood out

  • Revenue Exceeds Estimates

    Actual revenue of $34.4 million was up 2.5% compared to consensus estimates of $33.6 million.

  • Gross Margin Improvement

    Gross margin increased to 34.0% from 21.3% year-over-year due to better cost management and higher-margin products.

  • Backlog Growth

    Total backlog increased to $281.9 million from $248.1 million, indicating strong future revenue potential.

  • Reduction in Cost of Revenues

    Cost of revenues decreased by 17.0% to $22.7 million, improving efficiency.

  • Reduction in Interest Expenses

    Interest expense dropped 93.8% to $317, reflecting a lower debt level after conversion of notes.

  • Improvement in Interest Income

    Interest income rose 580.8% to $(3,785), boosted by higher cash and investment balances.

What to watch

  • High Net Loss

    Net loss increased to $56.8 million from $62.0 million year-over-year, indicating ongoing financial strain.

  • Increased SG&A Expenses

    SG&A expenses surged by 28.6% to $29.2 million, impacting overall profitability.

  • Litigation and Compliance Costs

    Legal challenges remain a risk to operational stability and financial outcomes.

Management's outlook

Management affirmed full-year revenue guidance of $135 million to $165 million.

Earlier filings 4

10-K · March 2, 2026

BigBear.ai positions itself as a mission-focused AI vendor serving national security, travel and trade markets and completed strategic bolt‑on deals (Ask Sage on December 31, 2025 and CargoSeer assets in January 2026).…

10-Q · November 10, 2025

BigBear.ai reported Q3 2025 revenue of $33.143M and a GAAP net income of $2.521M (basic EPS $0.01; diluted EPS $(0.03)), driven by non‑operating items and financing activity. The quarter shows a materially stronger…

10-Q · August 11, 2025

BigBear.ai reported Q2 (three months ended June 30, 2025) revenue of $32,472,000, down from $39,783,000 a year earlier, with gross margin falling to 25.0% and GAAP diluted loss per share of $(0.71). The quarter included…

10-Q · November 9, 2023

BigBear.ai reported Q3 revenue of $33,988,000, down $6,663,000 (16.4%) versus Q3 2022 ($40,651,000). The company recorded GAAP net income of $3,999,000 ($0.03 per diluted share) for the quarter versus a net loss of…

This is our reading of a public filing, not the filing itself. Analysis can contain errors; check the source document for full context.