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XPeng Inc XPEV 10.13 -0.09 -0.88%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $10.14
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.23 $9.91 – $10.37 $9.86 – $10.41 $9.64 – $10.63
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.32 $9.82 – $10.46 $9.75 – $10.53 $9.44 – $10.83
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.40 $9.73 – $10.54 $9.65 – $10.62 $9.28 – $11.00
1 week Earnings ±9.4% ±$0.95 $9.18 – $11.09 $8.95 – $11.33 $8.12 – $12.15
2 weeks Earnings ±10.9% ±$1.10 $9.03 – $11.24 $8.77 – $11.50 $7.81 – $12.46
3 weeks Earnings ±12.1% ±$1.22 $8.91 – $11.36 $8.62 – $11.65 $7.56 – $12.71
1 month Earnings ±13.4% ±$1.35 $8.78 – $11.49 $8.45 – $11.82 $7.29 – $12.99
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. XPEV reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.48%
Average actual move
6.23%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-18.09%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 24, 2026 ±9.43% -8.53% 0.90× 73.6% → 60.3%
May 28, 2026 ±7.39% -0.06% 0.01× —
August 19, 2025 ±9.30% +4.22% 0.45× 81.1% → 60.9%
May 21, 2025 ±8.51% +13.00% 1.53× 73.0% → 66.1%
March 18, 2025 ±10.93% -7.82% 0.72× 97.7% → 85.7%
November 19, 2024 ±11.34% -3.77% 0.33× 96.1% → 75.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →