XIFR Moves

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XPLR Infrastructure XIFR 7.13 -0.19 -2.6%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $7.13

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$0.13	$7.00 – $7.26	$6.97 – $7.29	$6.85 – $7.41
2 sessions	±2.5% ±$0.18	$6.95 – $7.31	$6.91 – $7.35	$6.74 – $7.52
3 sessions	±3.2% ±$0.23	$6.90 – $7.36	$6.86 – $7.40	$6.65 – $7.61
1 week	±4.1% ±$0.29	$6.84 – $7.42	$6.78 – $7.48	$6.51 – $7.75
2 weeks	±5.7% ±$0.41	$6.72 – $7.54	$6.63 – $7.63	$6.26 – $8.00
3 weeks	±7.1% ±$0.50	$6.63 – $7.63	$6.50 – $7.76	$6.07 – $8.19
1 month	±8.4% ±$0.60	$6.53 – $7.73	$6.38 – $7.88	$5.86 – $8.40

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.33%

Average actual move

7.42%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 3

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±9.14%	+1.78%	0.20×	—
February 10, 2026	±9.58%	+9.23%	0.96×	—
August 08, 2025	±9.27%	+11.24%	1.21×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →