WLY Moves

John Wiley & Sons WLY 50.23 -0.24 -0.48%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $50.52

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$1.08	$49.44 – $51.60	$49.22 – $51.82	$48.20 – $52.84
2 sessions	±3.0% ±$1.51	$49.01 – $52.03	$48.70 – $52.34	$47.27 – $53.77
3 sessions	±3.8% ±$1.90	$48.62 – $52.42	$48.26 – $52.78	$46.48 – $54.56
1 week	±4.8% ±$2.41	$48.11 – $52.93	$47.57 – $53.47	$45.38 – $55.66
2 weeks	±6.7% ±$3.39	$47.14 – $53.91	$46.33 – $54.71	$43.30 – $57.74
3 weeks	±8.3% ±$4.19	$46.33 – $54.71	$45.31 – $55.73	$41.66 – $59.38
1 month	±9.9% ±$4.99	$45.53 – $55.51	$44.29 – $56.75	$39.94 – $61.10

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. WLY reports in 18 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.04%

Average actual move

4.06%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
June 16, 2026	±10.04%	+4.06%	0.40×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →