VERA Moves

Vera Therapeutics VERA 30.14 -1.83 -5.72%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $30.14

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.2% ±$1.26	$28.88 – $31.40	$28.63 – $31.65	$27.45 – $32.83
2 sessions	±5.8% ±$1.75	$28.39 – $31.89	$28.02 – $32.26	$26.37 – $33.91
3 sessions	±7.3% ±$2.20	$27.94 – $32.34	$27.51 – $32.77	$25.45 – $34.83
1 week	±9.3% ±$2.80	$27.34 – $32.94	$26.72 – $33.56	$24.18 – $36.10
2 weeks	±13.0% ±$3.92	$26.22 – $34.06	$25.28 – $35.00	$21.77 – $38.51

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. VERA reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.44%

Average actual move

0.93%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 05, 2025	±8.44%	+0.93%	0.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →