Closed
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

Universal Technical Institute UTI 19.69 -2.64 -11.82%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $19.69
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.6% ±$0.52 $19.17 – $20.21 $19.06 – $20.32 $18.57 – $20.81
2 sessions ±3.7% ±$0.72 $18.97 – $20.41 $18.81 – $20.57 $18.13 – $21.25
3 sessions ±4.6% ±$0.91 $18.78 – $20.60 $18.60 – $20.78 $17.74 – $21.64
1 week ±5.9% ±$1.16 $18.53 – $20.85 $18.27 – $21.11 $17.22 – $22.16
2 weeks Earnings ±14.5% ±$2.85 $16.84 – $22.54 $16.17 – $23.21 $13.68 – $25.70
3 weeks Earnings ±15.7% ±$3.09 $16.60 – $22.78 $15.86 – $23.52 $13.19 – $26.19
1 month Earnings ±17.0% ±$3.35 $16.34 – $23.04 $15.53 – $23.85 $12.64 – $26.74
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. UTI reports in 10 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.67%
Average actual move
11.14%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 3
Median IV change
-38.55%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±12.18% -3.98% 0.33× —
August 07, 2025 ±9.95% -18.82% 1.89× —
May 08, 2025 ±9.88% +10.63% 1.08× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →