USAS Moves

Americas Gold and Silver Corporation USAS 2.95 -0.13 -4.22%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $2.94

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.2% ±$0.09	$2.85 – $3.03	$2.83 – $3.05	$2.74 – $3.14
2 sessions	±4.5% ±$0.13	$2.81 – $3.07	$2.78 – $3.10	$2.66 – $3.22
3 sessions	±5.6% ±$0.16	$2.78 – $3.10	$2.74 – $3.14	$2.59 – $3.29
1 week	±7.1% ±$0.21	$2.73 – $3.15	$2.68 – $3.20	$2.49 – $3.39
2 weeks Earnings	±18.3% ±$0.54	$2.40 – $3.48	$2.28 – $3.60	$1.81 – $4.07
3 weeks Earnings	±19.7% ±$0.58	$2.36 – $3.52	$2.22 – $3.66	$1.72 – $4.16
1 month Earnings	±21.2% ±$0.62	$2.32 – $3.56	$2.17 – $3.71	$1.63 – $4.25

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. USAS reports in 6 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.40%

Average actual move

3.76%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 14, 2026	±10.40%	+3.76%	0.36×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →