UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED (Delaware) UNH 409.38 4.94 1.22%
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $409.54| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.7% ±$7.13 | $402.41 – $416.66 | $400.98 – $418.09 | $394.22 – $424.85 |
| 2 sessions | ±2.4% ±$9.91 | $399.62 – $419.45 | $397.49 – $421.58 | $388.12 – $430.95 |
| 3 sessions | ±2.9% ±$11.99 | $397.54 – $421.53 | $395.24 – $423.83 | $383.98 – $435.09 |
| 1 week | ±3.6% ±$14.70 | $394.83 – $424.24 | $391.56 – $427.51 | $378.21 – $440.86 |
| 2 weeks | ±4.8% ±$19.69 | $389.84 – $429.23 | $385.17 – $433.90 | $367.48 – $451.59 |
| 3 weeks | ±5.7% ±$23.38 | $386.15 – $432.92 | $380.46 – $438.61 | $360.10 – $458.97 |
| 1 month | ±6.8% ±$27.69 | $381.85 – $437.22 | $374.97 – $444.10 | $350.85 – $468.22 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±5.94%
Average actual move
9.12%
Beyond the implied move
4 / 7
Median IV change
-33.86%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 13, 2026 | ±6.73% | -0.20% | 0.03× | 54.2% → 36.0% |
| July 16, 2026 | ±6.16% | +1.16% | 0.19× | 45.9% → 30.3% |
| April 21, 2026 | ±6.13% | +6.96% | 1.14× | — |
| January 27, 2026 | ±5.74% | -19.61% | 3.41× | — |
| July 29, 2025 | ±8.37% | -7.46% | 0.89× | 65.8% → 39.4% |
| April 17, 2025 | ±3.95% | -22.38% | 5.66× | — |
| January 16, 2025 | ±4.51% | -6.04% | 1.34× | 34.4% → 26.1% |