UMAC Moves

Unusual Machines UMAC 10.74 -2.29 -17.57%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $10.74

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±12.2% ±$1.30	$9.44 – $12.04	$9.10 – $12.38	$7.89 – $13.59
2 sessions Earnings	±13.8% ±$1.49	$9.25 – $12.23	$8.89 – $12.59	$7.52 – $13.96
3 sessions Earnings	±15.4% ±$1.65	$9.09 – $12.39	$8.70 – $12.78	$7.19 – $14.29
1 week Earnings	±17.5% ±$1.88	$8.86 – $12.62	$8.41 – $13.07	$6.79 – $14.69
2 weeks Earnings	±21.5% ±$2.31	$8.43 – $13.05	$7.88 – $13.60	$5.87 – $15.61
3 weeks Earnings	±24.8% ±$2.66	$8.08 – $13.40	$7.45 – $14.03	$5.15 – $16.33
1 month Earnings	±28.1% ±$3.02	$7.72 – $13.76	$7.00 – $14.48	$4.40 – $17.08

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. UMAC reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.15%

Average actual move

3.02%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-18.55%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2026	±15.64%	-5.83%	0.37×	—
August 15, 2025	±10.65%	+0.20%	0.02×	118.6% → 96.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →