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Trinity Industries TRN 29.43 -1.07 -3.51%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $29.43
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.7% ±$0.51 $28.92 – $29.94 $28.82 – $30.04 $28.34 – $30.52
2 sessions ±2.4% ±$0.70 $28.73 – $30.13 $28.58 – $30.28 $27.91 – $30.95
3 sessions ±3.0% ±$0.89 $28.54 – $30.32 $28.37 – $30.49 $27.54 – $31.32
1 week ±3.8% ±$1.13 $28.30 – $30.56 $28.05 – $30.81 $27.03 – $31.83
2 weeks ±5.4% ±$1.58 $27.85 – $31.01 $27.48 – $31.38 $26.06 – $32.80
3 weeks ±6.4% ±$1.88 $27.55 – $31.31 $27.10 – $31.76 $25.46 – $33.40
1 month ±7.4% ±$2.18 $27.25 – $31.61 $26.71 – $32.15 $24.81 – $34.05
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.58%
Average actual move
8.33%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Median IV change
-27.82%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 20, 2025 ±6.58% -8.33% 1.27× 40.0% → 33.4%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →