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TPG Inc TPG 46.74 -3.42 -6.82%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $46.74
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$0.92 $45.82 – $47.66 $45.64 – $47.84 $44.77 – $48.71
2 sessions ±2.7% ±$1.28 $45.46 – $48.02 $45.19 – $48.29 $43.99 – $49.49
3 sessions ±3.4% ±$1.61 $45.13 – $48.35 $44.82 – $48.66 $43.32 – $50.16
1 week ±4.4% ±$2.04 $44.70 – $48.78 $44.24 – $49.24 $42.39 – $51.09
2 weeks ±6.1% ±$2.87 $43.87 – $49.61 $43.20 – $50.28 $40.63 – $52.85
3 weeks ±7.6% ±$3.55 $43.19 – $50.29 $42.33 – $51.15 $39.24 – $54.24
1 month ±9.0% ±$4.23 $42.51 – $50.97 $41.47 – $52.01 $37.78 – $55.70
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.79%
Average actual move
2.61%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-24.76%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2025 ±8.42% +5.13% 0.61× —
May 07, 2025 ±8.17% +0.15% 0.02× 60.0% → 47.8%
February 11, 2025 ±6.77% -2.55% 0.38× 49.0% → 34.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →