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UP Fintech Holding Ltd American TIGR 3.95 0.05 1.28%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $3.95
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.09 $3.86 – $4.04 $3.84 – $4.06 $3.76 – $4.14
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.13 $3.82 – $4.08 $3.80 – $4.10 $3.68 – $4.22
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.16 $3.79 – $4.11 $3.76 – $4.14 $3.61 – $4.29
1 week ±5.1% ±$0.20 $3.75 – $4.15 $3.70 – $4.20 $3.52 – $4.38
2 weeks ±7.1% ±$0.28 $3.67 – $4.23 $3.60 – $4.30 $3.35 – $4.55
3 weeks ±8.8% ±$0.35 $3.60 – $4.30 $3.52 – $4.38 $3.21 – $4.69
1 month Earnings ±14.1% ±$0.56 $3.39 – $4.51 $3.26 – $4.64 $2.78 – $5.12
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. TIGR reports in 17 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±10.03%
Average actual move
8.21%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-13.56%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 26, 2026 ±8.23% -0.09% 0.01× —
June 02, 2026 ±9.38% -3.87% 0.41× —
August 27, 2025 ±9.79% -9.75% 1.00× —
May 30, 2025 ±7.47% -3.80% 0.51× 70.3% → 60.8%
March 18, 2025 ±12.67% +21.58% 1.70× 114.8% → 92.4%
November 12, 2024 ±12.61% -10.16% 0.81× 113.4% → 106.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →