TGB Moves

Trekor Metals Limited TGB 6.98 -0.58 -7.67%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $6.98

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.1% ±$0.22	$6.76 – $7.20	$6.72 – $7.24	$6.51 – $7.45
2 sessions	±4.3% ±$0.30	$6.68 – $7.28	$6.61 – $7.35	$6.33 – $7.63
3 sessions	±5.5% ±$0.38	$6.60 – $7.36	$6.53 – $7.43	$6.17 – $7.79
1 week	±6.9% ±$0.48	$6.50 – $7.46	$6.39 – $7.57	$5.95 – $8.01
2 weeks	±9.7% ±$0.68	$6.30 – $7.66	$6.14 – $7.82	$5.53 – $8.43
3 weeks	±12.0% ±$0.83	$6.15 – $7.81	$5.94 – $8.02	$5.21 – $8.75
1 month	±14.2% ±$0.99	$5.99 – $7.97	$5.74 – $8.22	$4.88 – $9.08

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.36%

Average actual move

3.17%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026	±8.42%	-4.36%	0.52×	—
August 07, 2025	±12.30%	+1.97%	0.16×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →