TECK Moves

Teck Resources Limited TECK 60.46 0.55 0.92%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $60.21

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.5% ±$1.53	$58.68 – $61.74	$58.37 – $62.05	$56.92 – $63.50
2 sessions	±3.5% ±$2.13	$58.08 – $62.34	$57.63 – $62.79	$55.62 – $64.80
3 sessions	±4.5% ±$2.68	$57.53 – $62.89	$57.01 – $63.41	$54.50 – $65.92
1 week	±5.7% ±$3.41	$56.80 – $63.62	$56.04 – $64.38	$52.95 – $67.47
2 weeks	±7.5% ±$4.49	$55.72 – $64.70	$54.66 – $65.76	$50.64 – $69.78
3 weeks	±8.9% ±$5.38	$54.83 – $65.59	$53.53 – $66.89	$48.85 – $71.57
1 month	±10.2% ±$6.12	$54.09 – $66.33	$52.56 – $67.86	$47.22 – $73.20

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.15%

Average actual move

4.31%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 5

Median IV change

-13.27%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
July 23, 2026	±5.07%	+4.61%	0.91×	58.9% → 53.8%
April 23, 2026	±4.98%	+2.51%	0.51×	55.6% → 49.3%
July 24, 2025	±4.86%	-8.99%	1.85×	—
April 24, 2025	±6.02%	+3.90%	0.65×	59.1% → 50.0%
February 20, 2025	±4.80%	+1.55%	0.32×	43.4% → 35.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →