TBBB Moves

BBB Foods Inc TBBB 64.21 -0.86 -1.32%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $64.21

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$1.26	$62.95 – $65.47	$62.69 – $65.73	$61.50 – $66.92
2 sessions	±2.7% ±$1.76	$62.45 – $65.97	$62.08 – $66.34	$60.42 – $68.00
3 sessions	±3.5% ±$2.22	$61.99 – $66.43	$61.57 – $66.85	$59.50 – $68.92
1 week	±4.4% ±$2.81	$61.40 – $67.02	$60.77 – $67.65	$58.22 – $70.20
2 weeks	±6.2% ±$3.95	$60.26 – $68.16	$59.33 – $69.09	$55.79 – $72.63
3 weeks	±7.3% ±$4.72	$59.49 – $68.93	$58.34 – $70.08	$54.23 – $74.19
1 month	±8.5% ±$5.46	$58.75 – $69.67	$57.38 – $71.04	$52.62 – $75.80

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.96%

Average actual move

6.67%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-11.36%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
March 12, 2026	±8.96%	-6.67%	0.74×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →