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Smith & Wesson Brands SWBI 13.17 -0.08 -0.6%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 3 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 03, 2026 close · $13.16
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.5% ±$0.21 $12.96 – $13.37 $12.92 – $13.41 $12.74 – $13.59
2 sessions ±2.1% ±$0.28 $12.89 – $13.44 $12.83 – $13.50 $12.56 – $13.77
3 sessions ±2.7% ±$0.36 $12.81 – $13.52 $12.75 – $13.58 $12.42 – $13.91
1 week ±3.4% ±$0.45 $12.72 – $13.61 $12.62 – $13.71 $12.21 – $14.12
2 weeks ±4.8% ±$0.63 $12.54 – $13.79 $12.39 – $13.94 $11.83 – $14.50
3 weeks ±5.9% ±$0.78 $12.39 – $13.94 $12.20 – $14.13 $11.53 – $14.80
1 month ±7.0% ±$0.93 $12.24 – $14.09 $12.01 – $14.32 $11.21 – $15.12
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SWBI reports in 22 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±12.33%
Average actual move
18.44%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
June 18, 2026 ±12.02% +17.12% 1.42× —
June 20, 2025 ±12.64% -19.76% 1.56× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →