SHLS Moves

Shoals Technologies Group SHLS 8.99 -0.17 -1.8%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $8.95

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±4.2% ±$0.37	$8.57 – $9.32	$8.50 – $9.40	$8.15 – $9.75
2 sessions	±5.8% ±$0.52	$8.43 – $9.47	$8.32 – $9.58	$7.83 – $10.07
3 sessions	±7.3% ±$0.65	$8.29 – $9.60	$8.17 – $9.73	$7.55 – $10.34
1 week	±9.3% ±$0.83	$8.12 – $9.78	$7.93 – $9.96	$7.18 – $10.72
2 weeks	±13.0% ±$1.16	$7.78 – $10.11	$7.50 – $10.39	$6.46 – $11.44
3 weeks	±15.7% ±$1.40	$7.54 – $10.35	$7.20 – $10.70	$5.97 – $11.92
1 month	±18.3% ±$1.64	$7.31 – $10.59	$6.90 – $10.99	$5.47 – $12.42

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±18.14%

Average actual move

1.69%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-20.35%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026	±18.14%	-1.69%	0.09×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →