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Starbucks Corp SBUX 109.7 4.93 4.71%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $109.40
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.2% ±$1.36 $108.04 – $110.76 $107.77 – $111.03 $106.49 – $112.31
2 sessions ±1.7% ±$1.88 $107.52 – $111.28 $107.11 – $111.69 $105.33 – $113.47
3 sessions ±2.2% ±$2.37 $107.03 – $111.77 $106.57 – $112.23 $104.35 – $114.45
1 week ±2.8% ±$3.02 $106.38 – $112.42 $105.71 – $113.09 $102.97 – $115.83
2 weeks ±3.9% ±$4.23 $105.17 – $113.63 $104.16 – $114.64 $100.36 – $118.44
3 weeks ±4.8% ±$5.24 $104.16 – $114.64 $102.88 – $115.92 $98.32 – $120.48
1 month ±5.7% ±$6.25 $103.15 – $115.65 $101.60 – $117.20 $96.16 – $122.64
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.37%
Average actual move
3.78%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 7
Median IV change
-33.12%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 30, 2026 ±5.35% -1.74% 0.33× —
July 30, 2026 ±5.48% +1.64% 0.30× —
April 29, 2026 ±5.42% +8.45% 1.56× —
January 28, 2026 ±7.55% -0.59% 0.08× —
July 30, 2025 ±6.91% -0.22% 0.03× 48.6% → 30.2%
April 30, 2025 ±7.24% -5.66% 0.78× 53.9% → 36.0%
January 29, 2025 ±6.62% +8.14% 1.23× 46.9% → 34.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →