ROAD Moves

Construction Partners ROAD 77.53 -21.71 -21.88%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $79.08

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$1.69	$77.39 – $80.77	$77.05 – $81.11	$75.45 – $82.71
2 sessions	±3.0% ±$2.35	$76.73 – $81.43	$76.23 – $81.93	$74.01 – $84.15
3 sessions	±3.7% ±$2.96	$76.12 – $82.04	$75.55 – $82.61	$72.78 – $85.38
1 week	±4.8% ±$3.76	$75.32 – $82.84	$74.48 – $83.68	$71.06 – $87.10
2 weeks Earnings	±10.4% ±$8.23	$70.85 – $87.31	$68.91 – $89.25	$61.72 – $96.44
3 weeks Earnings	±11.5% ±$9.12	$69.96 – $88.20	$67.80 – $90.36	$59.92 – $98.24
1 month Earnings	±12.7% ±$10.04	$69.04 – $89.12	$66.61 – $91.55	$57.96 – $100.20

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. ROAD reports in 10 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.55%

Average actual move

6.94%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026	±13.55%	+6.94%	0.51×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →