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Redwire Corporation RDW 8.13 -0.02 -0.25%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $8.10
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.4% ±$0.27 $7.83 – $8.37 $7.77 – $8.43 $7.51 – $8.69
2 sessions ±4.7% ±$0.38 $7.72 – $8.48 $7.64 – $8.56 $7.28 – $8.92
3 sessions ±5.9% ±$0.48 $7.62 – $8.58 $7.53 – $8.67 $7.08 – $9.12
1 week ±7.8% ±$0.63 $7.47 – $8.73 $7.33 – $8.87 $6.76 – $9.44
2 weeks ±11.7% ±$0.94 $7.16 – $9.04 $6.93 – $9.27 $6.09 – $10.11
3 weeks ±14.5% ±$1.18 $6.92 – $9.28 $6.64 – $9.56 $5.61 – $10.59
1 month ±17.4% ±$1.41 $6.69 – $9.51 $6.34 – $9.86 $5.11 – $11.09
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.80%
Average actual move
13.45%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-28.40%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 05, 2026 ±11.33% -19.82% 1.75× —
August 06, 2026 ±13.06% +10.35% 0.79× —
May 07, 2026 ±12.19% -4.56% 0.37× —
August 07, 2025 ±10.95% -30.88% 2.82× —
May 12, 2025 ±13.26% -6.63% 0.50× —
March 11, 2025 ±21.98% -8.44% 0.38× 160.8% → 115.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →