R Moves

Ryder System R 270.16 -12.96 -4.58%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $269.76

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.6% ±$4.34	$265.42 – $274.10	$264.55 – $274.97	$260.43 – $279.09
2 sessions	±2.2% ±$6.04	$263.72 – $275.80	$262.42 – $277.10	$256.73 – $282.79
3 sessions	±2.8% ±$7.61	$262.15 – $277.37	$260.67 – $278.85	$253.55 – $285.97
1 week	±3.6% ±$9.68	$260.08 – $279.44	$257.92 – $281.60	$249.15 – $290.37
2 weeks	±5.0% ±$13.57	$256.19 – $283.33	$252.95 – $286.57	$240.79 – $298.73
3 weeks	±6.0% ±$16.16	$253.60 – $285.92	$249.66 – $289.86	$235.58 – $303.94
1 month	±6.9% ±$18.64	$251.12 – $288.40	$246.51 – $293.01	$230.24 – $309.28

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.64%

Average actual move

2.72%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-20.55%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 11, 2026	±7.21%	+2.41%	0.33×	—
February 12, 2025	±6.07%	+3.02%	0.50×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →