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Pony AI Inc PONY 4.47 -0.28 -5.89%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

No chain in the last ten days can size a move for PONY.

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±11.34%
Average actual move
6.45%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 4
Median IV change
-15.10%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 18, 2026 ±10.71% -2.94% 0.27× —
May 26, 2026 ±12.78% +4.71% 0.37× —
March 26, 2026 ±11.59% -14.66% 1.27× —
August 12, 2025 ±10.28% -3.49% 0.34× 98.0% → 83.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →