PNFP Moves

Pinnacle Financial Partners PNFP 100.64 -0.85 -0.84%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $100.88

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.3% ±$1.34	$99.54 – $102.22	$99.27 – $102.48	$98.00 – $103.75
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$1.86	$99.01 – $102.74	$98.62 – $103.14	$96.86 – $104.89
3 sessions	±2.3% ±$2.34	$98.54 – $103.22	$98.08 – $103.67	$95.88 – $105.87
1 week	±3.0% ±$2.97	$97.90 – $103.85	$97.24 – $104.52	$94.53 – $107.22
2 weeks	±4.1% ±$4.17	$96.70 – $105.05	$95.70 – $106.05	$91.96 – $109.80
3 weeks	±5.1% ±$5.17	$95.70 – $106.05	$94.44 – $107.31	$89.93 – $111.82
1 month	±6.1% ±$6.16	$94.71 – $107.04	$93.18 – $108.57	$87.80 – $113.95

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.88%

Average actual move

2.34%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
April 15, 2025	±5.88%	+2.34%	0.40×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →